Ontario’s Progressive Conservatives are ahead of the Liberals by nine points, according to a poll of decided voters.
The Abacus Data poll found that the PCs have the support of 41% of decided Ontario voters followed by the Liberals at 32% and the NDP at 20%.
While the PCs had the largest group of supporters, a check of undecided voters showed they had the lowest room for growth.
The Liberals — who had the second largest number of committed voters — and the NDP had the greatest potential to garner support from undecided voters, according to the poll.
“Instead of the traditional ballot question, where you ask voters who they would vote for if an election was held today, we asked respondents to rate their likelihood of voting for each party on a scale from zero to 10. The objective was to get a more nuanced understanding of voter intentions in the province especially since voter intentions seem to be very fluid,” said David Coletto, CEO of Abacus Data.
“We found that among deciders voters, the PCs have a nine-point lead but there is a large pool of undecided voters (22%) that can change the dynamics of the campaign. Among these undecided voters, the Tories have the smallest room to grow which suggests the election is still up for grabs as voters figure out who they will end up voting for.”
The pole included 1,002 Canadians interviewed between Sept. 9 to 12 and is accurate within 3.2% — 19 times out of 20.