Tuesday, December 12, 2017

Stephen LeDrew fired from CP24 Toronto

The Left eating their own :)
Will CraP24 hire a non-white muslim lesbian to replace him?
LIEberal media does not believe in free speech?

Stephen LeDrew was so sure he would be back on his popular CP24 Live at Noon show he had two special guests lined up for the day of his return following a one-week suspension.

TTC boss Andy Byford and former foreign affairs minister Peter MacKay were booked. LeDrew had his coloured glasses and bow tie picked out.

The comeback didn’t happen. Instead, the former Toronto mayoral candidate said he was called into an office where “people were snarling at me.” It turns out the suspension for his appearance on Tucker Carlson’s FOX News program is not the only punishment.

“I was fired,” said LeDrew. “Fired for cause for violating our competition clause. Merry Christmas.”

The one-time Liberal Party of Canada’s president found himself in trouble for a Dec. 1 appearance on Carlson’s show where he defended a 15-letter acronym LGGBDTTTIQQAAPP being used in schools to protect against bullying.

LeDrew defended it to a skeptical Carlson but, he said, Bell Media decided to admonish him for “going on a competitor’s show without prior permission.”

LeDrew, a lawyer, said he was asked to sign a letter of apology that would allow him back on the air Dec. 8.

“I was worried the wording of the letter would not let me talk to law society events or the kids at Ryerson, but I was going to sign it because I wanted to get back on,” he said.

But after pushing his comeback date to Dec. 11, he was kept from the studio when he arrived.

“I was later ushered out and not allowed to go and get my coat,” he said. “I guess I shouldn’t have giggled when CTV news told me that Fox was its competition.”

LeDrew, who wished he could have said goodbye to his “terrific” colleagues, said he was also told he should not have done media interviews following his suspension.

Bell has not commented other than to say “Stephen LeDrew is no longer with Bell Media.”

It is disappointing because as a viewer and occasional guest, I think Stephen was very good at his job. He did it with professionalism, style and flare for seven years.

If there was a story in Toronto, LeDrew was the place on TV where viewers and newsmakers would go. That he could be dismissed over this seems over the top. How are characters and free thinkers to work in this kind of environment? TV and radio needs to be edgy and controversial instead of rigid and politically correct.

LeDrew doesn’t believe this was because of his “fish or fowl, frick of frack” answer to explaining the definition of what a “two spirited” person is but more about appearing without clearance and “that I talked with the press.”

Ironic, he was talking about free speech on the show.

“They just want everybody under their thumb,” said LeDrew. “I am OK. It just means I will be able to spend more time with my family over the holidays.”

But after that, LeDrew said he will be available to do commentary.

“This is a serious time in our country,” he said. “I will still talk about important issues.”

Just not on CP24.

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Kwsie Blair, 20, was shot to death in Regent Park on Monday, Dec. 11, 2017 BLM

Where are Toronto BLM?

TORONTO — A 20-year-old man shot in Regent Park last month is now the city’s latest murder victim.

Toronto Police say officers found the man around 11:20 p.m. on Nov. 13 after responding to a call for the sound of gunshots in the area of Dundas St. E. and Parliament St. — a neighbourhood that continues to be plagued by violence despite the city spending more than $1 billion to revitalize the community.

“Once on scene, police located a man in medical distress,” Homicide Det.-Sgt. Terry Browne said in a statement released Tuesday.

He said the man, who was suffering from gunshot wounds, was taken to hospital. He died on Dec. 11.

Kwsie Blair has been identified as the city’s 59th murder victim of the year.

No arrests have been made.

Anyone with information regarding this killing is urged to call the Homicide Unit at 416-808-7400 or Crime Stoppers anonymously at 416-222-TIPS (8477).

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Tuesday, December 5, 2017

Toronto home sales down 13% from same time last year

Always be careful how this industry spins the data

TORONTO — The Toronto Real Estate Board says the number of sales in the Greater Toronto Area in November was slightly higher than the previous month — a positive sign for the industry despite a series of year-over-year declines from last year.

The 7,374 homes sold last month represented a drop of 13.3 per cent from November 2016, but 256 sales over October.

The board says the average sales price in the GTA for all home types last month was $761,757, down by two per cent compared to November 2016, due in large part to a smaller share of detached home sales versus last year.

Prices for semi-detached, townhouse and condo properties were up but the average price of a detached home was down 5.8 per cent at $996,527.

BMO economist Benjamin Reitzes said in a note to clients that Toronto-area sales appeared to be “solid” in November.

    “They’re still down 13.3% y/y, but that’s a big improvement from the near 30% y/y drop in the prior month,” Reitzes wrote.

Board president Tim Syrianos said in a statement that demand for housing in the GTA this fall has been above the regular seasonal trend.

“Similar to the Greater Vancouver experience, the impact of the Ontario Fair Housing Plan and particularly the foreign buyer tax may be starting to wane,” Syrianos said in a statement.

“On top of this, it is also possible that the upcoming changes to mortgage lending guidelines, which come into effect in January, have prompted some households to speed up their home buying decision.”

In January, the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions will implement new lending guidelines that will require borrowers who do not require mortgage insurance to show they would still be able to make their payments if interest rates were to rise.

In November, high-density home types continued to lead the way in terms of price growth in the Greater Toronto Area, with the average condo price rising 16.4 per cent to $516,965 compared to November 2016.

    The average prices for semi-detached homes and townhouses were up 1.2 per cent and 4.8 per cent respectively.

In addition, the Bank of Canada has raised interest rates twice in recent months to the current overnight rate of one per cent, signalling a clampdown on cheap borrowing and driving the big bank prime rates and the cost of variable-rate mortgages higher. The cost of new fixed-rate mortgages have also risen as yields on the bond market have moved higher.

The board says new listings entered into its MLS system in November amounted to 14,349 — up 37.2 per cent compared to the same period last year when the supply of listings was very low.

“We are still seeing seller’s market conditions for townhouses and condominium apartments in many neighbourhoods versus more balanced market conditions for detached and semi-detached houses,” said Jason Mercer, the board’s director of market analysis.

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Most Canadians support a ban on guns in urban areas, poll shows

Why did Canada Press request this poll?
Why now?
What is the purpose of the poll?
Who decided the question?
Who interprets the data?
Why are you never asked? 
Why were the Toronto Star, CBC, and CTV quick to publicize it?

The vast majority of Canadians favours a total ban on guns in urban areas, a new poll suggests.

According to the poll, conducted by Ekos Research Associates for The Canadian Press, 69 per cent of those surveyed agreed with the statement “I think that there should be a strict ban on guns in urban areas.”

Support was highest in Quebec at 76 per cent and lowest in Alberta at 48 per cent.

The federal Liberals are currently at work on legislation to follow through on campaign commitments to tighten up restrictions on guns, though an earlier suggestion a new bill could be introduced before the end of the year now seems unlikely.

The Liberal plans don’t involve any kind of total ban and, indeed, no political party has ever suggested the idea, noted Ekos president Frank Graves.

But widespread support for the concept suggests there’s room to simply stop tinkering with existing gun laws and put in place something more ambitious, he said.

“I’m not saying the operationalization wouldn’t be complex, but this isn’t a moon shot and it’s been done in other jurisdictions,” Graves said.

“I think Canadians would settle for something close — it wouldn’t have to be a strict ban, but anything to move the needle here.”

Guns are not involved in the vast majority of crimes in Canada, but there have been increases in gun-related violence.

Statistics released last month showed that 2016 was the first time since 2012 that shootings were the most common method of homicide in Canada. Statistics Canada also reported that 2016 was the third year in a row that the number of firearm-related homicides rose.

The agency also reported last month that 587 people took their own lives with the use of a firearm in 2014, up from 544 the year before.

A standard response to why government doesn’t go further to crack down on guns is politics and the perception that urban Canadians view the issue far differently than rural dwellers, who use guns to hunt for food or protect themselves in remote regions beyond the everyday reach of law enforcement.

The political divide has played itself out repeatedly during national debates on gun control. In 2011, two NDP MPs from Thunder Bay, Ont., were disciplined when they broke ranks and voted in favour of the Conservative government’s legislation to repeal the gun registry.

During the Conservative leadership race earlier this year, a clear position on firearms-related policy was a must-have for candidates, many of whom actively courted firearms enthusiasts.

But the Ekos survey suggests there’s support across the political spectrum for restrictions that are limited to urban areas — 86 per cent of respondents who identified themselves as Liberals, 56 per cent of Conservatives and 75 per cent of New Democrats backed an urban ban.

The automated landline and cellphone survey of 2,287 Canadians was carried out Nov. 10-30 and is considered accurate within 2.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

In 2015, the federal Liberals made several campaign commitments related to firearms. They’ve fulfilled some, including a revamp of a national advisory board and increased funding to the provinces to address gun violence.

That money was announced last month at an event in Surrey, B.C., where a federal byelection is underway in a community that has a long-standing issue with guns and gangs.

The Liberals also pledged to require enhanced background checks for anyone seeking to buy a gun, and prospective buyers must also show a licence. Those who sell guns would, among other things, be required to keep an inventory of stock and sales.

Their platform also promised to get more weapons off the streets by strengthening controls on handguns and assault weapons.

A group that includes family members of women killed at a shooting at the Ecole Polytechnique in Montreal in 1989, as well as survivors of a shooting at Montreal’s Dawson College in 2006 and one at a mosque in Quebec City last year gathered on Parliament Hill last week to press the Liberals to commit to a firm timeline for the changes.

Public Safety Minister Ralph Goodale said work is underway on related legislation.

“It is an important topic and efforts in the past in dealing with a topic that has the potential to, in some places, be controversial has ended up foundering,” he said.

“When I put forward the legislative package, I want to make sure that it’s a package that will succeed. That’s my objective and we’ll get it done.”

People whose lives have been changed directly by gun violence say they’ve been waiting too long.

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Horseshoe Tavern celebrates 70th birthday

After 70 years in business, Toronto’s beloved Horseshoe Tavern is still thriving in a city that has seen a slew of similar live music venues recently shuttered.

“It’s just a special secret sauce. It’s hard to explain why it’s been able to stay open and be vibrant for 70 years but it just has,” Jeff Cohen, the owner of the Queen West bar, told CP24 on Tuesday.

Today marks the venue’s 70th birthday and a big celebration is scheduled for tonight at the club, which loyal patrons affectionately refer to as ‘the Shoe.’

“It’s actually a private party tonight,” Cohen said. “We’ve got a backing band with members of Blue Rodeo in it and some of the cream of local Toronto musicians jumping on stage.”

The tavern, which was constructed in 1861 as a blacksmith’s shop, first opened in December 1947 by owner Jack Starr.

“It was opened up as a roast beef dinner joint with a neighbourhood bar,” Cohen said.

“It just happened to be inhabited for 10 years by, for whatever reason, a lot of Maritimers and… they kept going to him, saying ‘Let’s do some live music.’ He relented and it just became kind of a live music icon, doing country music in the 50s and 60s.”

Since then, the Horseshoe has played host to bands and musicians from across all genres, including The Ramones, The Rolling Stones, Etta James, Willie Nelson, and Canadian icons The Tragically Hip.

Cohen said he thinks there are a number of factors that have contributed to the bar’s success over the years.

“The location is incredible. The room itself, although it looks like a dive bar, for whatever reason, just has fantastic sound,” he said.

“It’s the kind of place where the staff don’t come and go. It’s the kind of place where people end up working here for 20 to 35 years and it is just booked really well. It just has really good American and European touring bands and really a mix of the best Canadian bands.”

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Wednesday, November 15, 2017

ZOG: hate charges filed against Toronto's Your Ward News

After years of controversy, the editor and publisher of Your Ward News, a Toronto publication often described as a “hate rag”, have been charged with criminal offences by Ontario’s attorney general for wilfully promoting hatred against identifiable groups.

Both were charged with two counts each of wilful promotion of hatred under the Criminal Code, with one count for the targeting of women and another for the targeting of Jews.

“I think the government is sending a very strong message that it will not stand by and watch the wilful promotion hatred against identifiable groups and in this case specifically against women and Jews,” says Lisa Kinsella. She and her husband Warren Kinsella are founding members of a citizen’s group, Standing Together Against Mailing Prejudice (STAMP), that has campaigned against the publication.

It was the first time in Canada’s history that someone has been prosecuted for promoting hatred against women specifically, she added.

The charges are the latest blow to efforts by James Sears and Laurence St. Germaine, editor and publisher, respectively, of Your Ward News, to continue publishing their pamphlet. The publication was known for portraying Jews as dogs, glorifying Hitler and describing itself as “world’s largest anti-marxist publication.” The two were arrested this morning.

Back in June 2016, Sears had been subject to a prohibitory order on behalf of then-Public Services Minister Judy Foote that barred him from sending mail, ostensibly to prevent him from sending out his pamphlet.

The order is a rarely invoked one. The last time it was used was in 1981, when the federal government moved to ban a publishing company owned by Holocaust denier Ernst Zundel from also using Canada Post to distribute his material.

Back in March, their defence lawyer, Frank Addario, criticized the move, saying, “There’s a lot of crap in the mail and it is not a crime in Canada to publish or distribute defiant or even odious ideas in writing. It is a crime to distribute hate propaganda or defamatory libel.”

The attorney general’s approval of criminal charges means that the two are now accused of having done precisely that.

“Hate propaganda is not free speech, it’s hate propaganda,” says Kinsella. “So anyone who argues that they have the right to say anything is not well educated on Canadian law. Free speech comes with great responsibility.”

The Kinsella’s campaign against Sears and St. Germaine took a personal turn during the summer of 2017, when Sears wrote “chance that some hothead who cares deeply about me… would lose it and do something illegal like bludgeon the Kinsella’s to death.”

Those remarks let to the Kinsella’s pursuing private prosecution for uttering threats. “They were inciting others to hurt my family. And we did not want to stand by and allow that to happen,” says Kinsella. “So we went to the justice of the peace and presented our arguments for why James Sears and Leroy St. Germaine should be held accountable for these statements and the crown agreed.”

Kinsella said she has also launched another libel suit against the pair for remarks they made with regards to women, girls and sexual assault.

Both court cases are currently ongoing.

“In a multicultural and inclusive province like Ontario, the promotion of hatred stands in direct opposition to our fundamental values of equality and diversity,” said Ontario Attorney General Yasir Naqvi in an emailed statement to Yahoo! Canada News. “Hate divides people and communities. Hate crimes are, by their very nature, serious offences because their impacts can be devastating, spreading from the individual, through the social fabric of our communities as a whole.”

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Monday, November 6, 2017

Toronto could welcome almost 170,000 immigrants over the next 3 years — are we ready?

Nearly one million immigrants will be coming to Canada over the next three years, and tens of thousands of them will wind up in Toronto — but is the city ready for an influx of newcomers?

On the heels of the Liberal government's newly-announced strategy to boost immigration levels in the years ahead, Toronto immigration experts are raising questions about whether there is adequate support for the rising tide of economic migrants, family reunifications and refugees, in a city where both stable work and housing can be hard to find.

"The rate of unemployment for racialized immigrant women is very, very high," says Catherine McNeely, the executive director of Newcomer Women's Services, a non-profit settlement organization.

The latest census data shows more than 55 per cent of visible minority residents in Toronto are living on less than $30,000 a year, she adds.

"When they do get work, it's minimum wage, it's precarious, it's shift work," she says. "We serve a huge number of women who live just north of the Danforth, where ... 57 per cent of the households have incomes under $40,000."

Margaret Eaton agrees. As executive director of the Toronto Region Immigrant Employment Council, she stresses how most immigrants are highly educated, yet an economic divide persists.

Employers, she says, need to step up and give newcomers a shot. "The heads of these big corporations have to cascade down that message to their hiring managers, and then you have to hire someone."

No. of immigrants climbing to 340,000 in 2020

And that pool of potential workers could grow quickly, thanks to the plan announced on Nov. 1.

Dubbed "the most ambitious" plan in recent history by Immigration Minister Ahmed Hussen, it means the number of immigrants coming to Canada will climb to 310,000 in 2018, up from 300,000 this year.

That number will rise again to 330,000 in 2019 — then 340,000 in 2020.

Coun. Jim Karygiannis, who represents Ward 39, Scarborough-Agincourt, praised the Liberals' plan and said previous governments haven't been "courageous" enough to move in that direction. He also says more people in Toronto means more support is needed.

"We need to get ready for them," Karygiannis explains. "We need to make sure our schools are prepared because a lot of the kids coming in do not speak English. We need to make sure we have services."

It's crucial in Toronto specifically, a city which has typically been a "huge magnet" for people coming from abroad, Eaton says.

Hussen says the government plans to prioritize integration of immigrants, ensuring they have access to the resources they require to thrive.

"The supports are there, and they will continue to be there and we are working very closely to the industry," he said.

Toronto home to 17% of recent immigrants

The 2016 census showed the city was home to more than 17 per cent of all recent immigrants to Canada, even though less than eight per cent of the country's population lives in Toronto.

If that trend continued, the city would be welcoming more than 50,000 immigrants in 2018 alone, and  nearly 170,000 over the next three years.

But as the city continues to struggle with affordable housing, one expert says it might not be a diaspora destination in the years ahead.

Diane Dyson, director of research and public policy at WoodGreen community services, says many of the recent Syrian refugees, for instance, wound up settling elsewhere in the GTA.

"A lot of them arrived in Toronto, were sponsored in Toronto, but they moved outside the city boundaries," she says, to places like Mississauga and Markham where housing is more affordable.

Still, the flow of newcomers might shrink, but it certainly won't slow to a trickle.

"If immigrants are going to come to Toronto and have success, they must be supported," says Eaton.

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Friday, October 27, 2017

Jackie Redmond from TSN and Toronto Blue Jay Josh Donaldson caught cheating?????

Toronto Blue Jays Superstar Josh Donaldson was allegedly caught cheating on his longterm girlfriend. Now T.O. received this tip with more info via a solid source, “Started with Estrada, not Josh Donaldson. He came after (pardon the pun). E’s wife walked in on him and J in, shall we say, a very compromising position. Wife freaks out, natch. Estrada’s season suffered as we know, and by his own admission that was not about physical injuries at that point but ‘personal issues.’ (Look back at quotes from him when he re-signed contract.) Donaldson ‘signs on’ with JRed not long after. Problem is he also has longtime girlfriend from way back (high school or college) and she finds out. Dumps his ass and by then a Wags lynch mob forms. E’s wife said only way they would stay/re-sign contract with Jays is if J was sent packing. Firing tricky since team and network same employer, so they found NHL.com gig in NYC. Sad sitch for all involved but those are the facts” says our source.  Blue Jays are doing the soap opera thing off the field, that surely can’t help build team chemistry.-

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Wednesday, October 11, 2017

Josh Donaldson: Toronto Blue Jays Superstar has been Caught Cheating on his Longterm Girlfriend with Jackie Redmond?

Here’s a little dirt from the diamond. Toronto Blue Jays MLB super star player has been caught cheating on his long-term girlfriend. According to sources, “Josh Donaldson, has been having an affair with Sportsnet reporter Jackie Redmond, and his girlfriend Briana Miller walked in on the two. Since then, she has deleted some photos of her and Josh off her social media. Jackie helps cover the Blue Jays for the Canadian sports station and has since been reassigned to the NHL section, away from the Blue Jays. Sources also say she had hooked up with other Jay baseball players as well. Ouch, that hurts. Check out pic of Jackie below.

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Friday, May 26, 2017

All Hell Breaks Loose In Toronto's House Price Bubble

“It’s fear.”
During the first two weeks in May, according to preliminary data from Toronto Real Estate Board, home listings surged 47% from the same period last year even as sales plunged 16%. The average selling price dropped 3.3% from April – and this, after a 33% year-over-year spike in home prices in March and a 25% surge in April. Something is happening to Toronto’s blistering house price bubble.
Canada’s largest alternative mortgage lender, Home Capital Group, which focuses on new immigrants and subprime borrowers turned down by the banks, is melting down after a run on its deposits that crushed its funding sources. The industry is worried about contagion.
At the same time, the provincial government of Ontario announced a slew of drastic measures, including a 15% tax on purchases by non-resident foreign investors to tamp down on the housing market insanity that left many locals unable to buy even a modest home.
It comes after Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz warned in April that home prices are in “an unsustainable zone,” that the market “has divorced itself from any fundamentals that we can identify,” that there was “no fundamental story that we could tell to justify that kind of inflation rate in housing prices,” and that “It’s time we remind folks that prices of houses can go down as well as up. People need to ask themselves very carefully, ‘Why am I buying this house?”’
A few days ago, Moody’s Investors Service downgraded Canada’s six largest banks on concerns over their exposure to the housing bubble and household indebtedness that ranks among the highest in the world.

Now even the relentlessly optimistic industry begins to fret:

“We are seeing people who paid those crazy prices over the last few months walking away from their deposits,” Carissa Turnbull, a Royal LePage broker in the Toronto suburb of Oakville, told Bloomberg. She said they didn’t get a single visitor to an open house over the weekend. “They don’t want to close anymore.”

“Definitely a perception change occurred from Home Capital,” Shubha Dasgupta, owner of Toronto-based mortgage brokerage Capital Lending Centre, told Bloomberg.

“In less than one week we went from having 40 or 50 people coming to an open house to now, when you are lucky to get five people,” Case Feenstra, an agent at Royal LePage Real Estate Services Loretta Phinney in Mississauga, Ontario, told Bloomberg. “Everyone went into hibernation.”

“I’ve had situations where buyers are trying to find another buyer to take over their deal,” Toronto real estate lawyer Mark Weisleder told Bloomberg. Some clients want out of transactions, he said. “They are nervous whether they bought right at the top and prices may come down.” Home Capital had “a bigger impact on the market” than Ontario’s announcement of the new rules, he said.

“Home Capital is affecting things because people who can’t get mortgages from the banks rely on them and other b-lenders,” Lorand Sebestyen, an agent with iPro Realty in Toronto, told Bloomberg. “If you can’t get the mortgage then you obviously can’t buy anything and it’s going to affect the market, especially for the higher-priced properties.”

“It’s fear,” said Joanne Evans, owner of Century 21 Millennium, about the impact of Home Capital on housing. “It’s another contributing factor to the fear of ‘what’s going to happen?”’

And it’s ever so slowly sinking in more broadly.

In Canada, the theory has spread that real estate values can never-ever go down in any significant way – on the theory that they always go up – because they didn’t take a big hit during the Financial Crisis, and because the prior declines have been forgotten. So optimism about rising home prices had been huge. Now weekly polling data by Nanos Research for Bloomberg is showing the first signs of second thoughts. Two weeks ago, the share of people saying home prices would rise in the next six months was a record 50.1%. The following week, it dropped to 47.7%. In the most recent poll, it dropped to 46%.
But those who are able to sell at what appears to be the very tippy-top of the market are not complaining. Bloomberg cites business school professor Michael Hartmann who put his north Toronto home up for sale on May 17 sold it on May 22 for C$1.65 million, C$10,000 above asking price. He and his wife are planning to rent and see.

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Tuesday, May 23, 2017

Toronto Housing Affordability Crisis

The Toronto region’s shockingly high house prices haven’t stopped the city from achieving one of the highest home ownership rates in the developed world, up 23 per cent over the past 35 years.

Toronto’s ownership rate, at 68 per cent, is behind only Oslo, Norway (69 per cent), and Calgary (74 per cent) among 38 western cities.

But ownership doesn’t equal affordability, says a sweeping study on the Toronto region’s housing crunch to be published Tuesday.

It suggests the Toronto area will need up to $150 billion in new home construction in the coming decade and most of that should be rental units to make housing more affordable.

The report by the Canadian Centre for Economic Analysis, a research firm, paints a picture of two cities in one. It shows that half of Toronto-area residents are overhoused, with 2.2 million empty bedrooms. (There are 400,000 homes in Ontario that have three or more empty bedrooms, according to the report.)

But it would take only about 350,000 bedrooms to appropriately house the 20 per cent of Toronto residents, most of them families, who are shelter-poor.

“If this was happening to our food chain or our water supply, we would have a visceral reaction. But because it’s happening in a very slow-burn housing market, it’s like heating up the frog very slowly in the pan — it doesn’t notice until it’s too late,” said Paul Smetanin, the centre’s CEO, who has assessed the effect of more than 40 housing affordability factors.

House prices are half the problem. But our obsession with home ownership is a big contributor, too, he said.

Toronto has restricted vast swaths of the city to single-family detached homes. That has led to a shortage of appropriate housing.

Smaller households are the most overhoused, as they are in neighbourhoods where the population is shrinking and aging. Meanwhile, larger families — with five or more people — are most likely to be underhoused in high-density apartments without enough bedrooms.

There’s also a shortage of ground-level homes known as the “missing middle” — townhomes, row houses, duplexes and small apartments — that would appeal to families.

Those, along with secondary suites, should have a greater presence in single-family neighbourhoods, but zoning doesn’t allow for it, Smetanin said.

The economic analysis centre has developed a Shelter Consumption Affordability Ratio index that measures housing affordability far beyond a household’s mortgage payments or rent. It factors in shelter-related expenses such as the cost of transportation to work and school, utilities, maintenance and property taxes.

Then it uses computer modelling to assess the effect other factors have on affordability. These range from property speculation to household debt levels and income levels, which have remained essentially flat for 30 years as housing prices continued to climb.

The index results show that one in three Toronto-area residents, and one in four in Ontario, suffers extreme affordability pressure.

“It is serious and has serious consequences for the development of our communities and the economy,” Smetanin said.

The report, “Understanding the Forces Driving the Shelter Affordability Issue,” was funded by the Residential Construction Council of Ontario, the Residential and Civil Construction Alliance of Ontario, the Ontario Association of Architects and the Ontario Construction Secretariat.

It will be presented at a conference Tuesday on the issue of “missing middle” housing in the region, which will include a panel of mayors from Mississauga, Brampton, Barrie and Ajax.

Data shows that rental housing acts as oil in the engine of housing markets, Smetanin said. It also illustrates the stigma attached to renting.

“If you reduce oil in an engine, you get heat and the heat starts to transpire as high housing prices, difficulty in moving and uncertainty. While your engine’s getting hotter, you’re not getting any faster or going somewhere quicker,” he said.

Most underhousing occurs in rentals.

“When you look at the data and the demographics of rental, it almost looks like that’s where we’ve parked all our luggage as a society — if you don’t own your own home, you’re a loser,” he said.

Property speculators fuel the expectation that prices will go up and they crowd out families looking for appropriately sized and priced homes.

“Investors are fine, but free market forces are not necessarily pleasant … You get winners and losers,” Smetanin said. “Sometimes the losers are completely unintended. They’re not people who took too much risk and should have been slapped on the wrist. They’re people who are trying to satisfy their needs. At times, letting free market forces do what they want to do hurts people.”

Rather than band-aids such as Ontario’s recently announced foreign buyer tax and expanded rent controls, he said, governments need to look at new concepts for Canadian housing.

In Europe governments, not-for-profit agencies and private industry collaborate on rental housing that is “architecturally relevant and desirable.”

“If we want to change things, we need to change collectively some of our attitudes,” Smetanin said. “If you do things the old way with the same people, but expect something different, then I believe Einstein mentioned that was the definition of insanity.”

Toronto housing in numbers


Percentage of Toronto housing that is single detached homes, compared to 35% for apartments or condos and 20% in townhomes or “missing middle” housing


Proportion of Toronto-area condos that are rented out


Of Toronto-area commuters spend 45 minutes or more each way getting to work or school


Of Toronto-area commuters travel by car, compared to 85% outside the region


Proportion of people in two-person households who are overhoused


Proportion of people in households of seven or more people who are underhoused


Proportion of Ontario residents aged 65 and older who are overhoused Please share this

Tuesday, May 16, 2017

Province replacing Ontario Municipal Board with less powerful tribunal

TORONTO -  Ontario municipalities will have more power over building their communities under major proposed changes to how disputes over planning and development are adjudicated in the province.

Municipal Affairs Minister Bill Mauro announced Tuesday that the Ontario Municipal Board will be replaced by the Local Planning Appeal Tribunal with legislation that will be introduced later this month.

“If our reforms pass, there would be fewer and shorter hearings and a more efficient decision-making process, and there would be more deference to local land-use planning decisions, and there would be a more level planning field for residents wanting to participate,” Mauro said.

The Ontario Municipal Board, an independent adjudicative body, currently conducts hearings and makes decisions on planning and development matters, including issues relating to zoning by-laws, subdivision plans and ward boundaries.

Under new reforms, the Local Planning Appeal Tribunal will have less power.

It will only make decisions on whether or not a municipality has followed its official land use plans. If it hasn’t, the issue will be sent back to the municipality for reconsideration. Only if the municipality fails to come to a decision or fails to follow the planning process a second time would a full hearing be held, with the tribunal making a final decision.

That will mean fewer municipal decisions can be overturned than under the current process, in which each dispute is treated as if it were new, disregarding the decision the local government has made.

The reforms will also give municipalities the power to prohibit residents and developers from appealing local government decisions in areas immediately around major transit hubs, said Mauro.

The development industry might not welcome the change, he noted.

“They, perhaps, it’s fair to say, might have preferred status quo, but we don’t agree,” said Mauro. “We don’t think that’s the way to go.”

The status quo has long been criticized as tilted in favour of developers, who’ve been able to appeal municipalities’ decisions and ultimately build something more profitable, such as a taller condo building with more units than a local council wanted.

Toronto City Councillor Josh Matlow the new changes will make it easier for local leaders to plan their communities, without having to bargain with developers and fear being overruled by the tribunal.

“Finally, the government is taking substantive steps to tip the balance of power towards communities, locally elected bodies and local planners, rather than developers’ financial interests,” he said.

Hearings will be also quicker, relying only on written submissions without witness examinations.

The reforms also include giving legal information and support to residents who want to appeal a municipal decision. Decisions will be written in plain language and made public, said Attorney General Yasir Naqvi.

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Wednesday, May 10, 2017

Two TTC Toronto transit workers fail new drug and alcohol testing protocol

New policy came into effect May 8, with 51 tests to be performed this week
Random drug and alcohol testing of more than 10,000 TTC employees started on Monday
The very first worker to be tested under the TTC's new random drug and alcohol policy was found to be impaired, the TTC confirmed on Wednesday. Later in the day, a spokesperson said another employee failed a drug test.

A judge recently upheld the TTC's decision to require employees to take random drug and alcohol tests, despite attempts by their union to block the policy.

The worker who was found to be impaired, who is not an operator, blew more than 0.04 on a breathalyzer test, according to Brad Ross, executive director of communications at the transit commission.

​"We are incredibly disappointed at this, but it does affirm our belief for random drug and alcohol testing to drive down the number of instances of impairment that we've seen rise over the last couple of years," he said.

The worker has been suspended with pay, pending the result of their drug test which is due back in two to three days.

The TTC did not immediately provide further details about the second worker that failed a drug test, but a statement is expected later Wednesday.
Thousands of employees to be tested

More than 10,000 TTC employees are subject to random drug and alcohol testing. In this first week of the new policy, there are 51 tests scheduled, with "about seven or eight" taking place each day, Ross explained earlier in the day.

The TTC considers anything over 0.04 as impairment, whereas the 0.02 to 0.039 range is called a "policy violation." Under provincial law, driving with a blood alcohol level over a 0.08 is considered a criminal offence. The "warn range" is between 0.05 and 0.08.

When it comes to the drug test, Ross says the TTC isn't made aware of what drug an employee may test positive for — only that they have passed or failed the test.

"We are not interested in what people do on their own time, recreationally. If they smoke a joint on the weekend, that's of no interest to us," he added. "It becomes an interest to us when they're at work and they're impaired at work."

Ross says the testing is also acting as a deterrent, encouraging people who may have dependencies to come forward and seek the help they need through various programs the agency offers.

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Tuesday, May 9, 2017

Facing $343M budget gap, Toronto could freeze spending in 2018

City staff is recommending Toronto freeze its budget this year, an idea that has the mayor's support but has left some councillors sounding the alarm.

Toronto's budget committee will meet later this week to discuss a new report that calls for all arms of the city to hold budgets where they were in 2017.

To balance its books — something it's required to do by provincial law — the city needs to find some $343 million in savings, even if it increases residential property taxes by two per cent.

Mayor John Tory, speaking at a news conference about the future downtown relief line, said he supports the idea of starting the months-long budget process by taking a "really hard look" at what the city's spending.

"A lot of people are having to make do with the same amount they had last year," he said, adding he thinks those people will be happy to see the city doing the same.

Last year, Tory called for a 2.6 per cent across-the-board budget reduction, although many of the proposed cuts that departments floated were rejected. Tory said he hopes the city can again find a way to hold the line on spending without cutting any services.

Coun. Gord Perks, a fierce critic of last year's budget process, tweeted this year's plan will be a "disaster" for the city.

"How can we ask other governments to pay more for housing, daycare and transit when we freeze our own spending?" he wrote.
TTC, TCH, police will require biggest investments in new year

Operating expenses are expected to increase by $499 million this year, the city report notes, with the TTC, Toronto Community Housing, and police requiring the biggest new investments.

Coun. Janet Davis, who fought against proposed child-care cutbacks last year, echoed Perks's comments online.

"Yes, the province and feds should pay more, but we have to as well," she wrote.

Every department at the city will be expected to come up with its own plans to meet the target.

"Cost containment, service efficiency, modernization and service level changes as well as revenue strategies are required," the report notes.

The departments will also be expected to report on the "equity impact" — the effect of budget restraint on those it would affect most, including vulnerable populations — of any changes they bring forward.
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City of Toronto may stop Yonge subway extension if province doesn't fund downtown relief line, mayor John Tory says

    Mayor John Tory says the TTC may stop planning work on extending the Yonge subway north if the province doesn't commit to helping fund the future downtown relief line.

Tory, speaking Tuesday at the corner of Gerrard and Carlaw Streets, which sits along the relief line's proposed route, said he's puzzled by hesitation at Queen's Park to commit funding for the project, especially as Ontario has provided $150 million to help study it.   
The line could open by 2031, but Tory says that timeline is entirely dependent on getting all three levels of government to pay for its construction.

That timeline is important, as studies have found that Line 1 will be running at full capacity at that point.

"This new line will be the next major step to relieve crowding on the Yonge line," Tory told reporters.

Currently, the project remains in the planning stage, with city staff hoping to get a Class 3 cost estimate and schedule for the line by 2019.

More planning work has been done on the Yonge subway extension, which will connect Toronto and York Region, but Tory says the city and TTC may have to put that project on hold — especially because it's expected to increase riders on the already crowded Yonge line.

At Queen's Park, provincial Transportation Minister Steven Del Duca pointed out the city's own reports say there's a considerable amount of work that still needs to be done on both projects, and that the government has been supporting that.

Del Duca said his government "is investing more in public transit in the City of Toronto than any other provincial government in history," and said he expects talks on future projects to continue.

Later, Del Duca issued a news release accusing Tory of "playing politics" by threatening to delay transit projects.

"The mayor isn't helping anyone, especially his constituents who want transit built in Toronto," the statement said.
Tory vows city will find a way to pay its share

Previously, the province has pointed out that Toronto hasn't committed its own money to building the relief line, however Tory says it will.

"We will sort out our contribution," he said, adding he had hoped his road-toll plan — blocked by the province earlier this year — would have paid for it.

The mayor had been pressuring the government to commit more money for transit and social housing in the lead-up to its recent budget, which he says lets the city down. He said the city can't afford to stop planning transit projects given Toronto's expected growth.

"We will build and we will build and we will build," he said.

"We are committed to building a system that will catch up."

Tory's executive committee is set to debate the next steps for the relief line and Yonge subway extension at its meeting next Tuesday. 

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More Toronto immigrants 'fleeing to the suburbs' as Toronto housing prices keep rising

After Bassam Mansoob moved to Canada from Australia a year ago, he started hunting for a house in the GTA.

The high prices of both housing and insurance in Toronto were a "cultural shock," says the 32-year-old software engineer, who works downtown in Liberty Village.

Even homes as far west as Burlington were too pricey, he says. So, despite the lengthy commute, Mansoob and his family — including his wife and five-month-old daughter — wound up settling in Stoney Creek, a suburban community in Hamilton.

The decision was mostly about affordability, Mansoob says.

"I can't afford to spend that much living closer to the city, paying that much in insurance, property tax and whatnot," he told CBC Toronto.

And he's far from the only immigrant opting for the suburbs, rather than the core.

A new Statistics Canada study released on Monday shows the number of immigrants moving to the suburbs around Toronto, instead of settling downtown, is rising. And many experts say the high rent and housing prices in Toronto, where the average home now costs nearly $921,000, could be a big part of the shift.
Immigrant population living in suburbs up 10 per cent

More than half of the immigrant population in the Toronto census metropolitan area — which includes surrounding communities like Brampton, Oakville, Milton, Vaughan, Pickering and Ajax — was living in a municipality peripheral to Toronto in 2011, up from 40 per cent a decade earlier, according to the paper from Mireille Vézina and René Houle.

"Immigrants tend to move more and more to peripheral municipalities and new immigrants, even, tend to settle directly in peripheral municipalities, whereas in the past, immigrants tended to land in the core city centres like Toronto," said Houle. "The pattern is changing rapidly."

It's a similar scene in Vancouver and Montreal, something the researchers call the "suburbanization of immigrants," but the researchers say Toronto has seen the sharpest rise.

The trend makes sense to Harshal Dalal, who originally hails from India, moved to Canada in 2010, and wound up settling down in Oakville with his wife and two daughters.

"I think just the cost of housing in the city is much more, and that should be no surprise to anyone," he says. "You can get much more for your buck than you would get in Toronto."
People 'fleeing to the suburbs'

Houle, as well, speculates housing costs are playing a role in the trend — a sentiment echoed by housing and immigration experts.

"I'm sure money is part of it," says Graham Haines, research and policy manager with the Ryerson City Building Institute. "Living in Toronto — living close to Toronto — is becoming more and more expensive."

"As that cost increases, people are fleeing to the suburbs for cheaper rents and mortgages," echoes Margaret Eaton, executive director of Toronto Region Immigrant Employment Council.

Both say municipalities throughout Halton, York and Durham regions — all hot real estate markets as well, where house prices have spiked in spots like Oshawa and Oakville in recent years — need to prepare for the ongoing influx of immigrants.

Surburban communities need to "build in the services immigrants are looking for, the opportunities to set up new business," Haines explains.

Eaton says those kinds of supports are crucial, particularly since immigrants tend to struggle to get jobs that match their education and experience, and also face a higher unemployment rate than the general population.

"I worry that as we push immigrants out to the farther reaches of the city, and they still have to either own a car to get to work or spend hours on transit, that we just create further inequality and reduce opportunities for people," she says.

Like so many GTA residents — both immigrants and born-and-raised Canadians alike — Mansoob is now living that reality: Priced out of Toronto, and facing a lengthy daily commute.

"If it was possible to live closer to the main city downtown, I would've done that," Mansoob says.

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Monday, May 8, 2017

Toronto's Top 10 Shopping Malls

Shopping malls in Toronto are places we all love to hate but still find ourselves at time after time when we're hunting for an outfit, grabbing a bite to eat, or looking for an escape from bad weather.
Here are my picks for the top shopping malls in and around Toronto.
Yorkdale Shopping Centre
A trip to this North York mall regularly starts off with a stressful experience trying to secure a parking spot. However, once you're finished that battle you have access to 250+ stores including AllSaints, Canada Goose and Oak + Fort.
Scarborough Town Centre
Sometimes unfairly maligned for being east of Victoria Park, this Scarborough mall is a useful, logically planned resource for shoppers more interested in variety than marble floors and designer duds. It's a mix of major chains, big box retailers and independent shops.
CF Sherway Gardens
This Etobicoke mall is home to many of the same shops as the Eaton Centre, Yorkdale and Bayview Village, adequately servicing west-enders with plenty of upscale choices. The mall, best known for its iconic tented roof, is the city's best for a day of relaxed window shopping.
CF Fairview Mall
This North York shopping centre manages to pack a lot - books, booze, small appliances, toys and fashion for every age and budget - into a manageable space, meaning shoppers can find everything they want without having to give up an entire day.
CF Shops at Don Mills
This outdoor complex has brought highbrow shopping to what was once a humble neighbourhood. The European piazza feel of the central courtyard and dining options that stay open late inject some liveliness to the area. Big brand stores like Calvin Klein and Guess can be found here.
Pacific Mall
Dubbed the "Largest Chinese Indoor Mall in North America," this Markham destination is more about visual over-stimulation and snacking on addictive treats than stocking up on the necessities. Many of the nearly 500 shops offer the cutesy, kitschy and unusual.
CF Toronto Eaton Centre
Though it's overcrowded and inefficient, the city's largest mall remains a fashion destination, with stores like Saks, Uniqlo and Nordstom. It's important to note that it's best to stay away on weekends and holidays, unless you fancy a trip to the human  zoo.
Vaughan Mills
This outlet mall delivers bargains from Joe Fresh and outlet versions of almost every major shoe store, as well as nostalgic entertainment from Lucky Strike bowling.
Bayview Village Shops
As one of Toronto's pricier malls this is a great place to visit for when it's pay day or you're in desperate need of some retail therapy. High end shops like Davids, Sandro and Brian Bailey line the halls.
Square One Shopping Centre
Practically a city unto itself, this Mississauga mall is similar to Scarborough Town Centre in its mix of independent, chain and big box retailers. Here you'll find everything from Michael Kors to Dollarama.

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Wednesday, May 3, 2017

Torstar Corp Publisher of the Toronto Star Reports $24.4 Million LOSS on Declining Newspaper and Digital Revenues

Torstar Corp. lost $24.4 million, or 30 cents per share, and cut 110 jobs in the first quarter of 2017, as the company’s core traditional revenue streams continued to plummet in line with broad media industry trends.

 Digital revenues, where the newspaper company has vested much of its hope for future growth, also took a slight dip.

Shares of the company fell as much as 22.3 per cent to $1.29 in morning trading, before paring some of the losses. It was down 8.4 per cent at midday.

The loss, which covers the three months ended March 31, is an improvement over the same period last year when Torstar fell $53.5 million short.

Revenue at the publisher, which owns the Toronto Star, the Hamilton Spectator and Metro commuter papers among others, fell $18.1 million or 10 per cent year-over-year to $156.7 million in the quarter.

That decline was impacted in particular by print advertising revenue, which fell 19 per cent, and subscriber revenue, which fell 9.5 per cent.

Torstar’s struggles to maintain print advertising and subscriber revenues are neither new nor surprising, as newspaper publishers in Canada and throughout the world have seen spending migrate rapidly to online competitors in the ad market, including tech giants like Facebook and Google, prompting job cuts and cost restructuring year after year. (Australia’s Fairfax Media, one of the largest publishers in that country and the owner of the Sydney Morning Herald and the Melbourne Age, announced Wednesday it will cut 125 staff, or a quarter of its newsrooms, in an effort to save AU$30 million.)

Torstar said the 110 positions that were eliminated related to “Metroland (Media)’s closing of a small printing plant and to the closing of a small mail room,” and said they will result in $5.3 million in annualized savings.

Meanwhile, the company’s digital revenues fell four per cent in the first quarter after marginal gains throughout 2016: It attributed that decline to weak performance at websites Workopolis, WagJag and Save.ca, while online forum operator VerticalScope, which Torstar holds a 56 per cent stake in, saw revenue grow $1.5 million or 18 per cent. Management said it expects print advertising declines to continue, but believes digital revenues will stabilize through 2017, including further growth at VerticalScope.

Torstar continued to wind down investment in its most ambitious project in recent years, the once promising tablet app Toronto Star Touch, noting that it made a $3.7 million lower net investment in the app during the first quarter.

Launched in the fall of 2015, Star Touch repeatedly failed to meet readership expectations: the company once trumpeted hopes of 200,000 weekly users, instead hitting a ceiling of 60,000.

Torstar’s new CEO John Boynton, who took over from David Holland in March, made a candid admission when asked on an investor’s call about continued take-up of the app, conceding that “the volume doesn’t look like it’s progressing at all.”

“Part of why I’m here is I’m excited by the assets,” added Boynton, who said one of his short term goals will be to assess consumer segments and best align Torstar’s properties with them. “I think the asset collection itself is exciting if we can put it together in a different way… We’re not looking at rounding the edges, we’re looking to do something significant.”

Boynton also noted that Torstar ended the first quarter with no bank indebtedness (the company reported $59.4 million in cash and equivalents and $9.1 million of restricted cash), adding it is “not normal in North America for this industry.” Torstar’s largest Canadian competitor, Postmedia Network Inc., remains heavily indebted after completing a restructuring deal of its debt last year.

In an investment note, RBC Capital Markets analyst Drew McReynolds said Torstar’s results were “weaker than expected.” RBC estimated Torstar’s segmented revenues and earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization would come in at $160 million and $9 million respectively, versus the $156.7 million and $2 million reported Wednesday.

McReynolds said the difference between EBITDA estimates and results was due to weak performance at the company’s Star Media Group, which operates the Toronto Star and Metro commuter papers, and Metroland Media, which operates weekly and community newspapers throughout Ontario. According to RBC, the “relentless newspaper pressure” overshadowed growth at VerticalScope, but the online forum operator’s steady growth and stable advertising rates made for a silver lining on shares.

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Toronto Home Price Growth Slows as New Listings Soar: Toronto Real Estate

  • Average price rises 25% to C$920,791 after 33% jump in March
  • New listings jump 34% as Ontario imposes foreign buyer tax
Toronto home price gains slowed in April and new listings soared the most in seven years, signaling the red-hot market may be cooling after the Ontario government imposed new measures to curb runaway gains in Canada’s biggest city.

Housing prices jumped 25 percent last month from a year earlier, down from the 33 percent annual increase in March. The average price of C$920,791 ($671,000) in April was just 0.5 percent higher than in March, according to figures from the Toronto Real Estate Board.

In further signs of a slowdown, sales fell 3.2 percent to 11,630 units, the first year over year decline since 2014. The number of new homes on the market jumped 34 percent to 21,630, the biggest increases since 2010, the figures released Wednesday show.

“If new listings growth continues to outpace sales growth moving forward, we will start to see more balanced market conditions,”  Jason Mercer, head of market analysis at the real estate board, said in a statement. “It will likely take a number of months to unwind the substantial pent-up demand that has built over the past two years.”

Mercer predicted that annual home price growth on a monthly basis will remain “well-above the rate of inflation as we move through the spring and summer months.”

The sales slowdown and jump in listings suggest the Ontario government’s moves to curb price gains may be having an effect. The government announced a 16-point housing plan on April 20, including a 15 percent tax on foreign home buyers and expanded rent controls. A similar tax in British Columbia slowed home price growth in Vancouver last year, although prices there rebounded 11 percent in April from a year earlier.

“It is too early to tell whether the increase in new listings was simply due to households reacting to the strong double-digit price growth reported over the past year or if some of the increase was also a reaction to the Ontario government’s recently announced” housing measures, said board President Larry Cerqua.

The month of May is typically one of the busiest of the year and should provide a better indicator of market direction following the Ontario moves, Mercer said.

The April housing numbers also cover about 10 days of the crisis at embattled mortgage lender Home Capital Group Inc. The Toronto-based company has seen its stock plunge and customers withdraw deposits after it was accused by Ontario’s securities regulator of misleading investors about fraudulent loans. Some economists have said the turmoil may cool the market if it spreads to other mortgage lenders, making it harder for some home buyers to borrow.

Home Capital’s funding woes aren’t “the beginning of the end,” of the housing boom nor does this represent the “ultimate test” for the market, said Benjamin Tal, deputy chief economist at Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce.

“The ultimate test will be high interest rates,” he said at a real estate conference in Toronto Wednesday. “The ultimate test will be a recession, and that will come eventually. Home Capital is not the ultimate test.”

Home Capital represents a small segment of the so-called subprime market of borrowers who can’t get a mortgage at a traditional bank yet are still good credits, he added.

“Many of those sub primers, so-called sub-primers, they are a better risk than me because they are self-employed new immigrants with a lot of money that simply don’t fit into the regulation framework so they go elsewhere and are actually doing fine.”

The Toronto Real Estate Board weighed in Wednesday on the ongoing debate over the role non-Canadian investors are playing in the housing boom, as well as on the prevalence of speculation by foreign and domestic homebuyers and multiple home ownership in Toronto and broader Ontario.

The number on all counts “remains low,” the board said in a separate statement. Foreigners have accounted for about 2.3 percent of purchases in the Toronto and Niagara region over the past decade, the board said.

The board noted the Easter holiday may have affected the most recent sales data as it fell in April this year and in March in 2016.

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Tuesday, May 2, 2017

Provincial and Local Liberals Hate Toronto

Toronto city councillor Shelley Carroll clearly had already swallowed the Liberal Kool-Aid when she offered herself up as the party’s candidate Tuesday in the new riding of Don Valley North.

She told the media the Liberal government is an “amazing partner” with Toronto, and has contributed a tremendous amount towards the construction of new transit in the city - in addition to rebuilding public services.

Perhaps the ever ambitious Carroll missed the provincial budget launch last Thursday or is still trying to understand that mounting debt creates a heap of new servicing costs (a point she seemed to continually wrestle with as the former budget chief under Mayor David Miller).

Still, I have no clue what she’s talking about and I’m certain Mayor John Tory would agree.

In fact, either Carroll didn’t read city manager Peter Wallace’s April 28 synopsis of how Toronto fared (or rather didn’t fare) vis-a-vis the Ontario budget, or she chose to ignore it, or the script handed to her by the Wynne Liberals on Tuesday offered an alternate reality (which an ambitious councillor would gladly accept.)

I was not a fan of road tolls when Tory introduced them late last fall. I considered them another tax.

Having said that, Carroll’s would-be leader, Kathleen Wynne, convinced the mayor to expend the political capital to pursue the tolls and once he got council approval (and a fair amount of pushback from Conservative commentators), she threw him under the proverbial bus.

Deciding purely for political expediency to save seats in the 905-area code, Wynne decided not to approve the tolls this past January (tolls which would have given the city $200 million a year).

One would expect, as the mayor did, that Wynne would make up for her sudden politically motivated change of heart in the 2017 budget.

But other than tossing out a few crumbs on programs that are near and dear to the debt-plagued, cash-strapped Wynne government - child care, poverty reduction, youth training, climate change - there was no new money for the issues that really matter to Torontonians.

Sure, the city will be allowed to charge a hotel tax which, when fully implemented, will give them $15 million a year. The proceeds of the vacancy tax is yet to be determined.

But they’re mere crumbs.

Let’s start with transit. There was no pledge to assist with a sorely needed $6-billion downtown relief line.

On the $3.3-billion one-stop Scarborough subway, there was no mention of whether the province will commit to the full $2 billion expected from the city.

(I guess that’s a “No.”)

The only contribution will come from a doubled share of the gas tax, which will give the city $642 million a year by 2021-22. I repeat, by 2021-22.

That’s four budget years away and with any luck, Wynne won’t be Premier by then.

It’s little wonder the city can’t get on with planning for future transit when they’re dealing with a government that doesn’t honour its word and doles out money like an allowance.

Ditto for social housing. I have sat in many a TCHC meeting where the talk turns to capital repairs and the 10-year, $2.6-billion capital plan to try to get ahead of the backlog.

The idea was for the city, province and the feds to each pony up one-third.

To date the city has fulfilled its commitment and the feds have given some money.

The province? Not one red cent.

So much for poverty reduction.

So much for Carroll’s claims that public services have been rebuilt by her would-be leader.

I can’t figure which is crumbling faster: Toronto’s infrastructure or Wynne’s integrity.

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Monday, May 1, 2017

Toronto's Financial District Rocked by Hydro Vault Explosion

TORONTO - Firefighters say a hydro vault fire that set off a series of blasts and temporarily shut down streets in Toronto’s downtown core has been extinguished.

Capt. Adrian Ratushniak says the blaze smouldered for more than 12 hours after a series of explosions sent heavy brown smoke billowing from grates on the north side of King St. W., between Yonge and Bay Sts., but crews put out the remains of the fire on Tuesday morning.

He says fire crews will remain on scene as a precaution while hydro crews begin the work of replacing a transformer damaged in the blaze.

There were no injuries in the incident, which began with an initial explosion in a hydro vault shortly after 5 p.m. Monday.

Ratushniak says crews initially had to fight the fire with carbon dioxide gas because dumping water on the energized hydro vault would have been dangerous. They were eventually able to extinguish the blaze with water.

Toronto Hydro has said crews would have to pump water out of the vault and dry the equipment before venturing inside to start repairs.

“Very scary scene,” hydro spokesman Tori Gass told reporters at the site Monday night. “I just want to reassure people, we have been responding to this quickly and actively, I’m sure this happened at a time when it was very busy on the streets, It’s never easy to see something like this happen.”

Toronto Fire Services Platoon Chief Kevin Shaw said Monday that typically rain, humidity, dampness ges into the infrastructure, which may be older and deteriorating, and causes these fires.

 “There’s all sorts of different plastics. Everything is a carcinogen," Shaw said. "Probably some plastics, basically, it’s an electrical fire.”

Pedestrians gathered nearby covered their faces with hands and scarfs, while police who guarded the intersection wore masks as the smoke filled the air.

Mike Amsterdam tweeted out a video of the smoke following the first explosion.

“This was 20 seconds after first explosion,” he wrote. “I had just walked across those grates.”

There were also reports of manhole covers popping up from the street.

The incident had disrupted transit service in the area, but Toronto transit officials said the King subway station returned to operation late Monday and north-south buses along both Yonge and Bay streets were running as usual. The east-west King St. streetcar was still being diverted.

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Thursday, April 27, 2017

More People Are Buying Toronto Real Estate That Shouldn’t, And Half Are At Risk of Defaulting

Toronto real estate buyers scrambling to get in the market are increasingly taking out high-ratio mortgages, with far too little income.

The number of people that shouldn’t be purchasing Toronto real estate, but are buying anyway, is skyrocketing. At least that’s the consensus from the latest high-ratio mortgage data we scored from the Bank of Canada (BoC). According to these statistics, more people are entering into high-ratio mortgages, and they’re doing it with a high loan to income ratio as well. The combination makes these buyers perfect candidates for defaulting on their mortgages.

High Ratio Mortgages

High ratio mortgages are ones with minimal equity in the home (i.e. the down payment the buyer had was really small). The industry defines a high ratio mortgage as any mortgage with a loan-to-value ratio of more than 80%, which basically means anyone with less than 20% down. These types of loans have little risk for the lender, since the borrower also has to pay the cost of securitization (a.k.a. they have to buy default insurance). Keep in mind, the default insurance the borrower is required to purchase actually covers the bank in the event of a default, not the borrower. The borrower still assumes all risk.
Experts say you should have a loan-to-income ratio of less than 300%. In plain english, this means your mortgage should be 3x your gross income max (less if you have significant debt). If you make $100,000/year, and want a $400,000 condo – you should have $100,000 as a downpayment (25%). Any less, and your chances of carrying that loan become increasingly more difficult. If you’re high leverage, and have a mortgage over 300% of your annual income, you’re at a large risk of default. If that ratio exceeds 450% and you’re also a high-ratio borrower on top of it, the odds are stacked against you.

Toronto Seeing More High Leverage Loans With A High Loan-to-Income Ratio

Recently, Toronto has seen a massive increase in people who have high leverage loans, and also have high loan-to-income ratios. According to the BoC, “almost half of the high-ratio mortgages originated in Toronto in the third quarter of 2016 had LTI ratios exceeding 450%.” That’s right, 49% of high ratio mortgages also had a dangerous loan-to-income ratio. The same quarter in 2015 saw 41%, and that quarter in 2014 was just 32%. So the loan quality has been rapidly deteriorating over the past couple of years.

Spreading Beyond Toronto

The problem isn’t just isolated in Toronto, it’s spread to surrounding cities. Oshawa and Hamilton both saw high-ratio mortgages with high loan-to-income ratios more than double in the past 3 years. BoC analysts saw the ratio increase from 10% to roughly 25% over that time. Now I know Oshawa is the Manhattan of Eastern Ontario, but I’m not sure a high-leverage mortgage that’s out of your budget is a smart idea.
The quality of loans deteriorating rapidly over the past two years should be a sign of how healthy this market is… or isn’t. Toronto real estate prices have had a thirty year run, without much resistance. Suddenly over the past two years, people that shouldn’t be buying houses are scrambling to get into the market. These buyers are taking out loans they’re likely to default on. Since they’re insured, banks have little to no risk, but as I mentioned above, the risk still falls on the buyer. Unfortunately, this doesn’t just impact the people who are taking out these risky mortgages, it’s contributing to rising prices for responsible homeowners as well.

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Wednesday, April 26, 2017

Toronto Community Housing Corporation TCHC: Government plans closure of hundreds of social housing units

Toronto Community Housing, the largest social housing provider in Canada, is planning to close 400 homes next year because of a lack of repair money.

Those closures, on top of 600 units to be boarded this year, would bring the total number of shuttered homes to 1,000 by the end of 2018.

There are now more than 181,000 people on the wait list for subsidized housing.

The fact that hundreds more people will lose their homes was outlined to board members at a meeting Tuesday, just days ahead of a provincial budget announcement that has left city officials seriously concerned the city will be short-changed on social housing.

“We should be discussing how to open new affordable housing units, not debating how many we’re going to have to close,” said Councillor Joe Cressy, who is a member of the board.

“In a city as wealthy as ours, in a province as wealthy as ours, it is an absolute failure on the part of all levels of government if we close units.

“Full stop.”

Toronto Community Housing, which manages nearly 60,000 units across 2,100 buildings, needs to secure an additional $350 million for repairs next year in order to prevent further closure of homes that will no longer be safe to live in.

The repairs are substantial; in 2016, they included fixing roofs, structural deficiencies, elevators and mechanical issues like plumbing.

Closing units means TCH is responsible to re-house those that are displaced, putting additional pressure on the waiting list that has continued to grow since 2007.

The original 10-year repair plan approved by the city budgeted a total $2.6 billion. Of that, $1.73 billion in funding is still needed. The plan called for spending $438 million next year.

But Toronto Community Housing’s vice-president of facilities management, Sheila Penny, explained only $82 million is available.

Of that, $38 million will come from further mortgage refinancing — which has up until this point largely financed the more than $900 million in repairs spending.

Eyes are now on the province, which is set to unveil a budget on Thursday.

Although Premier Kathleen Wynne recently indicated all three levels of government should be working together on housing in 2017, reinvesting in social housing would mean a reversal of decades of provincial downloading of the responsibility for the homes.

Unveiling her government’s Fair Housing Plan last week, the premier made no mention of social housing.

That announcement was met by a statement from the city’s housing advocate Councillor Ana Bailao.

“Toronto strongly encourages the province to step-up, and provide much needed funding, to help prevent the closure of social housing units in Toronto,” it read, in part.

On Tuesday, Bailao’s message was direct on the closure of social housing units: “If we don’t continue the (repairs) program, then it’s going to get even worse,” she told the Star.

“We have to know if we can count on them to address this huge housing issue.”

Mayor John Tory said he too has received no assurances about provincial funding.

“It’s time for all hands on deck to keep this city great and to make it a place that’s fair to live for all people,” he told reporters on Tuesday.

Housing Minister Chris Ballard’s office offered no details when asked about the issue by the Star this week.

“Canada’s new government agrees with Ontario that there is a need to invest in housing and infrastructure. We are ready to strengthen our partnership with the federal government to ensure that our most vulnerable people are not left behind,” said a statement from spokesperson Theresa Lubowitz.

The $82 million in repair money budgeted for next year does include $23 million from the federal government’s first phase of social infrastructure dollars announced last year.

As part of its 2017 budget announcement, the federal government dedicated $11.2 billion to housing over 11 years, falling short of the $12.6 billion over eight years request from mayors of major municipalities, including John Tory.

But the federal government has yet to elaborate on how much will be available for social housing repairs and how much of it will be available for next year.

“We’re just not sure yet how the federal money will flow and how it will be allocated. We’re hopeful we get more information on this soon,” Toronto Community Housing spokesperson Brayden Akers said in an email

The federal government was unable to provide clarity on the matter this week.

“Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation is currently working on detailed program designs, and, as a result, the mechanisms through which funding from budget 2017 will flow will be announced later,” wrote Mathieu Filion, spokesperson for Social Development Minister Jean-Yves Duclos, who is responsible for housing.

Former interim CEO Greg Spearn, whose sudden resignation was announced Tuesday, has been sounding the alarm on the repair backlog for the past two years, noting they would hit a wall in 2017 without dedicated funding.

He told the Star earlier this year that TCH would be on track to close a unit a day in 2018 if more funds were not secured.

If TCH does not keep up with repairs, it is estimated more than 7,500 homes will need to be boarded up — more than 10 per cent of the entire portfolio.

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Toronto Real Estate: Bubble Indexes, House Price Illusion, and Mortgage Warnings, Ross Kay - April 24, 2017

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Toronto Real Estate: Rent control measures could lead some Ontario condo investors to sell: report

New rent control measures unveiled last week by the Ontario government could push some small investors out of the condominium market, according to a new report.

Urbanation, a research and consulting firm specializing in the Toronto condominium market, said the imposition of rent control by the government on recently built units is the "single biggest and potentially most harmful change" introduced in the government's plan.

Last week, as part of its plan to tackle hot housing prices, the government revealed that rent control will now be extended to all units, including those built after 1991, which had previously been exempt.

Ontario's Fair Housing Plan also means annual rent increases for existing tenants can be no higher than the rate of inflation. Under the plan, rent increases will be capped at 2.5 per cent, even if the rate of inflation is higher.

In its report, Urbanation said the average pre-sale investor with a 20 per cent down payment on a condo unit finished this year will have carrying costs equal to the going rate on the rental market. "So even with historically low interest rates, a rental investment with the maximum allowable borrowing limit generates zero net income."

Urbanation also said that while condo investors who bought several years ago have a stronger cash flow due to their lower purchase prices and mortgage carrying costs, those who purchased more recently are at greater risk of rising costs, and may prematurely decide to sell.

"This would lead to an outright reduction in the supply of rentals in the GTA and would eventually negatively impact new condo sales volumes, which would have wider reaching consequences for the overall housing market," Urbanation said.

Citing Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. estimates from 2016, Urbanation said that about half of recently finished condos were used as rentals.

Urbanation said that without small investors, condo development would be drastically reduced and the rental supply would be dramatically lower than it is today, leading to even higher prices and rents.

The group said that given how fast prices have risen recently, even incremental increases in interest rates will mean higher holding costs that far exceed the rent controlled limit.

"The bigger issue is that rent control will eventually cause condo investors to begin to shy away from making new purchases, effectively slowing new development … and choking off the market's key source of new rental supply," Urbanation said in its report.

Thus far, the province's plan has been met with mixed reaction. On the day it was unveiled, a group representing low-income families applauded it, while the Federation of Rental-housing Providers of Ontario panned it.
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