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Tuesday, October 16, 2018
Toronto Drops From 1st To 137th As National Sales Drop: Global Housing Rankings
There are "some deep divergences" in Canada's housing markets, Bank of Montreal chief economist Doug Porter wrote in a client note Monday, "with one emerging theme a clear split between ongoing weakness in the west and real pockets of strength in the east."
Worldwide, Asian cities are now dominating the tops of the rankings, with Ahmedabad, India, in first place.
After years of frenzied activity, Canada's housing markets are calming down — so much so that Toronto has gone from being the world's hottest residential market to one of its weakest.
Canada's largest city tumbled to 137th place, out of 150 cities, in real estate consultancy Knight Frank's residential cities index for the second quarter of 2018, with the city recording a 2.8-per-cent decline in house prices. It had placed first a year earlier, with 29.3 per cent year-on-year price growth.
Nearby Hamilton — which had seen a housing boom as Torontonians flocked to its lower house prices — dropped to 128th place, from third a year earlier.
"Tax changes targeting foreign buyers or higher stamp duty (Vancouver, Toronto, Hong Kong) has led to slower growth at the luxury end of the market," Knight Frank said in the report issued last week.
But Vancouver improved its ranking, rising to 10th place in the world, from 52nd a year earlier. Still, it was largely cities in eastern and central Canada that showed improvement, including Ottawa, Montreal and Halifax.
The Knight Frank report provides a snapshot of what the world's housing markets looked like in the April-June period of this year, but that snapshot is already changing.
After a relatively strong start to the year, Vancouver's housing market has turned sharply down, with home sales down 43.3 per cent in September, its weakest showing in years. Prices have started falling in some segments of the market.
Meanwhile, Toronto has seen a mild rebound in recent months, with sales up 1.3 per cent in September, from a year earlier.
Housing market 'in neutral'
Still, Toronto's rebound couldn't stop the national market from turning negative in September, with sales falling 0.4 per cent from August. They're down 8.9 per cent from a year ago, and are below the 10-year average for the month, according to data released Monday by the Canadian Real Estate Association.
"The Canadian housing market finds itself in neutral, with strong population increases and decent job growth countered by rising interest rates and a tighter regulatory backdrop," Bank of Montreal chief economist Doug Porter wrote in a client note.
That "tighter regulatory backdrop" means the new mortgage "stress test" that the real estate industry has blamed for this year's slowdown.
"While results vary wildly from region to region, the overall picture is much, much calmer than anything seen in recent years — and that's a good thing," Porter wrote. "What's especially remarkable is the broad stability in prices."
The sales slowdown this month "is consistent with our forecast calling for resale activity to rise at a more moderate pace in coming quarters," wrote TD Bank economist Rishi Sondhi. "Increasing borrowing costs and stretched affordability conditions in key markets (will) keep a lid on demand."
The average price of a home sold in Canada was $487,000 in September, CREA reported, up a tame 0.2 per cent over the past year.
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Monday, October 15, 2018
Toronto Community Housing becomes hot-button election issue
the following heavily biased article was published in the far left Star.
In a city with a dearth of affordable housing the state and fate of Toronto’s ailing social housing stock has become a hot-button issue in the build up to the municipal election.
Social housing in particular — which includes co-operative housing, private non-profit housing and Toronto Community Housing (TCH) — is no longer considered by voters as a safe and reliable option for people who cannot afford the rising costs of market rent.
Decades after the provincial and federal governments decided they no longer wanted to be responsible for some 2,100 buildings — $9 billion of publicly owned assets — that make up the TCH portfolio, the mostly vulnerable and low-income tenants face an uncertain future. As that housing stock has aged, the city has been left without the funding or political support to keep the units in good repair, resulting in pieces of some occupied homes literally crumbling to the ground.
Those concerns are reflected in a new poll. Almost two-thirds of close to 1,000 Toronto voters said they were “not confident at all” that they could access social housing during a time of need, according to the poll conducted for the Star by Forum Research.
While slightly more than two-thirds also said they had general concerns around social housing their reasons were split, with 36 per cent identifying criminal activity as a key concern, 21 per cent placing availability at the top of their list and 15 per cent pointing to the state of repair in existing units.
In Toronto, there are 96,828 households with active applications for social housing, based on information posted by the city and collected from a centralized wait-list That group includes 33,728 active applications for seniors.
Tensions between activists invested in the creation of more social housing and the bureaucrats tasked with making it happen has generated considerable friction in the city. Last week members of the Ontario Coalition Against Poverty protested in front of an abandoned property they want the city to expropriate, to speed up the creation of safe housing for the increasing number of people in dire need.
Mayor John Tory and mayoral contender Jennifer Keesmaat, who are leading the race for mayor, are both considered capable of managing the complicated file, with 35 per cent saying Tory was the most likely to fix social housing and 30 per cent betting on Keesmaat.
Keesmaat received the strongest support in York, East York and the old city of Toronto, or the downtown core. Her strongest backing came from voters aged 25 to 34, with 44 per cent of that group indicating they felt she was the best candidate to address the issue compared with 20 per cent for Tory. Tory had the biggest show of support from residents of Etobicoke, North York and Scarborough. In terms of age, his strongest backing came from people 65 and above, earning 53 per cent support compared with 19 per cent for Keesmaat in that same group.
Tory’s director of communications for the campaign, when asked about concerns about unit availability and repair issues, said the city has invested $1 billion in social housing repair over the last four years and noted that the 2018 repair budget for TCH buildings was at $300 million, up from $124 million in 2014.
“After years of underinvestment in the city’s housing stock by previous governments, the Mayor has been focused on working with other levels of government to clear the backlog of social housing, repair units and make sure units do not close,” said Keerthana Kamalavasan, in an email.
The estimated cost, or the amount still needed, to repair the aging stock is $1.6 billion. There is currently no funding committed to manage that backlog.
Premier Doug Ford’s recent decision to cancel a cap-and-trade program meant that provincial money pledged for energy retrofits and social housing repair is now also in jeopardy.
“Toronto needs this government to find at least similar money from a similar source and ensure the province is doing its part to keep social housing in good repair,” said Greg Suttor, a senior researcher at the Wellesley Institute. “The city for its part needs to make decisions about capital funding for Toronto Community Housing.”
Suttor noted there has been a recent spike in funding, a mix of federal dollars pledged to preserve social housing as part of the National Housing Strategy and the boost to the city budget, but it is vitally important that sustained funding is secured. “Those are big budgetary decisions that the city needs to make,” he said.
A lack of funding has already forced the closure of units across the city, including a block of townhomes in the Firgrove community, near Jane St. and Finch Ave.
Building an affordable city became an early and defining election issue, with Tory pledging to create 40,000 new affordable rental units in 12 years and Keesmaat pledging 100,000 over 10 years.
Keesmaat said the creation of more affordable rental housing should, if executed properly, release some of the pressure on social housing and must be combined with a commitment to reinvesting in buildings in need of repairs.
“That is our moral obligation as a city and is something we have fallen deeply behind on and as a result we need a strategy that will deliver — ensuring that we have high quality homes for everybody who needs one in this city,” said Keesmaat, speaking with the Star last week.
In Toronto, the term affordable housing has also become a point of contention as it is considered well out of the price range of people who rely on social assistance programs. The Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation releases figures on average rent for occupied units across the city. In Toronto, if a unit becomes empty then landlords can charge whatever they want.
One challenge factored into the future health of social housing is negative perceptions around who lives in those properties and the impact it could have on surrounding neighbourhoods, something reflected in the polling results. While two-thirds of voters said they approved of social housing, just one-third would approve if it was built in their neighbourhood.
Mayoral candidate Saron Gebresellassi grew up in social housing, in a TCH tower near Keele St. and Eglinton Ave. W., and thinks the concept of what is affordable needs to be redefined.
Gebresellassi is pushing to reduce the stigma around social housing and has spoken out against a request Tory made to the provincial government to amend of the Housing Services Act, which would allow TCH to ban tenants evicted for serious criminal activity.
She said she completely understands community concerns about the risk of violence, but barring people will boost recidivism and a multi-level government approach is needed to reduce poverty and crime.
“I really worry about that legislation because it is going to cause people to reoffend, if they can’t find affordable or social housing when they come out” of jail, she said.
Candidate Sarah Climenhaga said city land should be used to develop mixed-income housing and new developments should include at least 25 per cent affordable units, through inclusionary zoning rules.
Unless all levels of government reallocate more money for housing there will continue to be unnecessary pressures on hospitals and the criminal justice system at a significant cost to the public, she said.
“It is a far better use of public funds to house people safely and with dignity in their own homes.”
For its poll, Forum Research surveyed 987 randomly selected Toronto voters by phone, from Oct. 3 to Oct. 5. This research is not necessarily predictive of future outcomes but rather, captures opinion at one point in time. Results based on the total sample are considered accurate plus or minus 3 per cent, 19 times out of 20.
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Loser Toronto Mayor John Tory vs legal gun owners
Meet a group of legal firearms owners who feel they’ve become target practice for soft-on-crime politicians who don’t know what to do about the crisis of rising gun violence in Toronto.
They’re the members of the Toronto Revolver Club, who practice their target shooting at a compact range tucked away in East York, which I visited last Wednesday night.
I took them up on their invitation to see what they do and how they feel about Mayor John Tory’s (and city council’s) call in July for a ban on handgun and ammunition sales in Toronto.
Tory’s chief opponent, Jennifer Keesmaat, backs a ban, too.
They tell me they’ve regularly been snubbed over the years by their councillor, Janet Davis, who is retiring after the Oct. 22 election. Club members have also repeatedly invited Tory to come, to no avail.
It was competition night and members were quietly moving in and out of the main meeting area to the firing line where they were testing their abilities to hit a paper bull’s-eye — using flat lead bullets from 18-metres away (they recycle their cartridges and make their own ammunition).
Past president Sav (who didn’t want his last name used for fear of repercussions from his neighbours, protesters or thieves) said theirs is the oldest gun club in Canada with about 240 members, ranging in age from 93 to 18.
Inside the range, I was given earphones and safety glasses for protection from the noise and stray casings.
Sav said they’re very concerned about the gun ban, first of all because many of the facts being used to support the controversial measure are “very misleading.”
He said the contention that 50% of all guns taken off the streets of Toronto were legally purchased in this country is “B.S.
“If my gun was used in the commission of a crime, it would be traced back to me and I’d be in more trouble than the person who committed the crime,” he said.
“It’s heavily regulated … criminals do not register their guns,” he said, insisting most of the guns used by gangs here in Toronto still come from the United States.
They’ve been in their current location since 1954, he said, and 10 years ago the membership was opened to women.
Their members include active and retired cops, doctors, ministers, engineers, architects, financial planners, and provincial and national target shooting champions.
“They enjoy the competition and camaraderie,” he said.
Sav says there’s a very “rigorous” process to first get a licence through the RCMP, that pistols have to be stored in a locked location at home and transported without ammo in a locked carrying case to a federally-approved range.
They must also be approved by the club itself. References, a police report, completion of a safety course and a training program are all required, including six sessions where newbies are monitored on the firing line.
After all that — which takes about six months to complete –only one in three actually make it as members.
Maxine Powers (not her real name) says there are cameras outside the club and members are escorted when they leave.
“Safety is something we take very seriously,” she said, noting that if members don’t obey the rules, they’re gone.
She’s been a member for five years and finds it “addictive” to compete against herself.
“It’s a sport you can excel in the older you get,” Powers said.
Sav reiterated before I departed that taking away legally registered guns is not only a “knee-jerk reaction” by the politicians but that it would “solve nothing.
“It’s all political posturing … and we’re the scapegoat,” he said.
“Show me Chief (Mark) Saunders an incident involving a legal gun.”
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Sunday, October 14, 2018
Toronto Police probing anti-abortion activist attack at Ryerson
Toronto Police is investigating an anti-abortion demonstration turned violent at Ryerson University earlier this month.
Officers were called to Gould St. around 2:10 p.m. on Oct. 1 after a woman with the Ryerson Reproductive Justice Collective allegedly assaulted another woman, who was protesting with the Toronto Against Abortion group.
In a YouTube video posted by Toronto Against Abortion, a woman — identified by the group as Gabby Skwarko, who Toronto Police confirm is a person of interest — is seen kicking graphic posters of embryos to the ground, throwing a metal clamp, then grabbing an anti-abortion protester by her backpack and shoving her a few times.
Katie Somers, the director of Toronto Against Abortion, claims she was the woman who was assaulted and told The Toronto Sun she sustained bruising on her leg.
“My colleague Blaise Alleyne were in a conversation with members of the Ryerson Reproductive Justice Collective, who had been there blocking our signs, and we were having a civil debate about abortion,” Somers said Friday.
“Gabby appeared out of nowhere. First, she was calling out to us, asking us when we were going to leave. She just kicked our signs over, pushing down on my leg. They hit my wrist as well. I cried out in pain and she picked up the trolley and threw it at me and the metal clamp we used to hold the signs, she threw that at me as well. Then she grabbed my stainless steel water bottle and smashed it on the ground and started grabbing my backpack and try to wrestle me around. She was trying to get me to fight her.”
Somers said “she couldn’t believe” the attack was so brazen, given that she hadn’t spoken to the pro-choice activist that day, though the two have exchanged words previously in March.
“When I saw the cart get thrown, I thought, ‘This is another level. I can’t fight this person off of me because she’s willing to use a metal cart as a weapon,’” she said. “I was terrified it was going to smash my teeth in or worse.”
Toronto Police spokesman Katrina Arrogante said this is an ongoing investigation and police have a person of interest in the video footage seen, but there have been no arrests at this time.
A complaint was filed with Ryerson University’s student conduct office. A spokesman from the university could not be reached for comment.
Olson Crow, the president and founder of the Ryerson Reproductive Justice Collective declined comment on Friday.
Joyce Arthur, the executive director of the Abortion Rights Coalition of Canada, said it abhors any kind of violence when it comes to protests, however, graphic photos on placards run the risk of triggering people who have undergone abortions.
“I wanted to point out what I see as the hypocrisy on the anti-choice side — they’re always filming these things with the expressed purpose of trying to catch people on tape and then they exploit these incidents in order to paint themselves as martyrs,” she said.
“There is a decades-long history of protests outside of abortion clinics, where patients and escorts are being harassed, yelled at, sometimes assaulted. These stories are very common but we don’t hear about them, because we don’t film them. It’s really seeking to whitewash the history of harassment, intimidation and violence from the anti-choice side.”
This Ryerson incident follows a similar incident on Sept. 30 in the Keele and Bloor Sts. intersection where a man was filmed allegedly scribbling on the jackets of several Life Choice anti-abortion protesters and round-house kicking another female protester, causing her to drop her phone.
Jordan Hunt, 26, was arrested a few days later and faces eight counts of assault and seven counts of mischief under $5,000.
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Officers were called to Gould St. around 2:10 p.m. on Oct. 1 after a woman with the Ryerson Reproductive Justice Collective allegedly assaulted another woman, who was protesting with the Toronto Against Abortion group.
In a YouTube video posted by Toronto Against Abortion, a woman — identified by the group as Gabby Skwarko, who Toronto Police confirm is a person of interest — is seen kicking graphic posters of embryos to the ground, throwing a metal clamp, then grabbing an anti-abortion protester by her backpack and shoving her a few times.
Katie Somers, the director of Toronto Against Abortion, claims she was the woman who was assaulted and told The Toronto Sun she sustained bruising on her leg.
“My colleague Blaise Alleyne were in a conversation with members of the Ryerson Reproductive Justice Collective, who had been there blocking our signs, and we were having a civil debate about abortion,” Somers said Friday.
Defending assaulting women for being pro-life. A woman doing it too. What has the world come to? #feminism #jordanhunt #prolife #prochoice https://t.co/zKN1nEYD6w— Katie Somers (@theladykatie) October 7, 2018
“Gabby appeared out of nowhere. First, she was calling out to us, asking us when we were going to leave. She just kicked our signs over, pushing down on my leg. They hit my wrist as well. I cried out in pain and she picked up the trolley and threw it at me and the metal clamp we used to hold the signs, she threw that at me as well. Then she grabbed my stainless steel water bottle and smashed it on the ground and started grabbing my backpack and try to wrestle me around. She was trying to get me to fight her.”
Somers said “she couldn’t believe” the attack was so brazen, given that she hadn’t spoken to the pro-choice activist that day, though the two have exchanged words previously in March.
“When I saw the cart get thrown, I thought, ‘This is another level. I can’t fight this person off of me because she’s willing to use a metal cart as a weapon,’” she said. “I was terrified it was going to smash my teeth in or worse.”
Toronto Police spokesman Katrina Arrogante said this is an ongoing investigation and police have a person of interest in the video footage seen, but there have been no arrests at this time.
On Monday, my friend @theladykatie and I were attacked by a member of @RyeReproJustice while having a civil conversation about abortion with pro-choicers. https://t.co/fjoN0GBkMv https://t.co/nOGbiQQ9Fx— Blaise Alleyne (@balleyne) October 5, 2018
A complaint was filed with Ryerson University’s student conduct office. A spokesman from the university could not be reached for comment.
Olson Crow, the president and founder of the Ryerson Reproductive Justice Collective declined comment on Friday.
Joyce Arthur, the executive director of the Abortion Rights Coalition of Canada, said it abhors any kind of violence when it comes to protests, however, graphic photos on placards run the risk of triggering people who have undergone abortions.
“I wanted to point out what I see as the hypocrisy on the anti-choice side — they’re always filming these things with the expressed purpose of trying to catch people on tape and then they exploit these incidents in order to paint themselves as martyrs,” she said.
“There is a decades-long history of protests outside of abortion clinics, where patients and escorts are being harassed, yelled at, sometimes assaulted. These stories are very common but we don’t hear about them, because we don’t film them. It’s really seeking to whitewash the history of harassment, intimidation and violence from the anti-choice side.”
Why do we continue in the face of pro-choice violence? @theladykatie explains in the aftermath of the assault from @RyeReproJustice pic.twitter.com/LFRIGB6AAU— TO Against Abortion (@endthekillingTO) October 10, 2018
This Ryerson incident follows a similar incident on Sept. 30 in the Keele and Bloor Sts. intersection where a man was filmed allegedly scribbling on the jackets of several Life Choice anti-abortion protesters and round-house kicking another female protester, causing her to drop her phone.
Jordan Hunt, 26, was arrested a few days later and faces eight counts of assault and seven counts of mischief under $5,000.
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Amal Jones, 19, captured on CCTV, murdered Elliott Reid-Doyle in a brazen daylight shooting on Oct. 2, 2018
A manhunt is underway for the alleged killer of Toronto’s 83rd homicide of 2018.
But if you see Amal Jones anywhere, don’t talk to him directly or engage him in any way.
“He is considered armed and dangerous,” warn Toronto Police, who announced Saturday a warrant was out for his arrest for a second-degree murder.
Their advice?
“If located, contact 911 immediately.”
This is important to note since the 19-year-old is wanted in the murder of Elliott Reid-Doyle, 18, who was gunned down in the broad daylight on Oct. 3 at the corner of Birchmount Rd. and Bonis Ave.
The whole thing is nuts because it’s so brazen in the middle of the day with people all around. But it’s even more crass if you consider it’s believed there was no major motive for the gun to come up and another person being outrageously shot, according to police.
“We don’t believe that they knew each other prior to the incident and the shooting was a result of that interaction that they had with each other,” veteran homicide Det. Leslie Dunkley told media Friday.
In other words, a kid is dead over nothing. This has happened all too often in 2018 where those packing heat are not worried they will be carded or even questioned by police who are mandated by the government to tell people they want to talk with that they are under no obligation to do so and hand them a card with various contacts on how to complain about them.
Yet, another kid is senselessly dead.
“A warrant in the first has been issued,” said a release by Toronto police spokesperson Katrina Arrogante. “He is wanted for second degree murder. He is described as 5-foot-10 to 6-foot-2”, slim build, black hair in cornrows tied at the back, and he was wearing a dark-coloured tracksuit.”
From my experience covering local crime, I know this is also not Jones’s first run in with the law. He has a history with police and the courts. Judging from Dunkley’s comments, Jones is also not likely to outsmart cops.
“I urge the suspect in this case to contact a lawyer and turn himself in. It’s just a matter of time before we locate you,” Dunkley told the media on Friday.
It seems Jones was captured on a store’s surveillance video. Oops.
Now the video and his picture is out there for all to see. These images should help the public offer tips and clues. But remember, with the serious allegation against this suspect, and that he carrying a gun and is known to the justice system, just call police and let them handle it.
Better yet, Amal. The jig is up. Be a man and turn yourself in.
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Facts don't seem to matter in Radisson LeCafe Toronto hotel fire story
There are still more questions than answers when it comes to the investigation into a suspected arson at a North York hotel two weeks ago.
But one thing Toronto police want to make clear about the investigation into the Oct. 2 fire on the third floor at the Radisson Hotel Toronto East at Victoria Park Ave. and Hwy. 401 is there is no evidence it was an attack on refugees staying there — a notion some have irresponsibly been floating and reporting.
“I spoke with the detective earlier today and there is no indication at this time that the arson is an attack on the immigrants staying at the hotel,” a Toronto police spokesman wrote in an email.
This was sent after another police source told me the investigation into the fire that started at 10:34 p.m. does not involve the “hotel” or “hotel guests” being targeted.
It seemed like an important fact.
Yet every media report I have watched or read has ignored this and instead pushed the narrative the fire was fuelled by anti-refugee sentiment.
It’s a good angle that I would cover too if it were true. It may turn out to be true, but it is not yet clear that’s the case.
Still, many went ahead and reported the supposed connection as fact.
There are more problems in this story.
Police put out a news release Friday stating: “Woman wanted in arson investigation, 55 Hallcrown Place.”
Media are always glad to help police catch violent criminals and more than willing to run a story with a suspect’s photo. But there was real confusion over this one and things were not adding up.
Police sources told me the person in the picture may not be a woman after all and that he or she is not at this point officially considered a suspect — just a person police want to talk to. He or she may end up being a suspect, but they are not saying that at this point.
The police statement was later clarified that officially, this was not a “wanted” person but a “person of interest wanted in arson investigation.”
The fog didn’t stop there.
Mario Calla, executive director of the immigrant services agency COSTI, which has been connecting refugee claimants with services in Toronto, said he watched surveillance video of the arson and saw a woman wearing a “white coat” carrying a white bag that appeared to show a “red” gas can inside.
The image put out by police showed a woman wearing darker colours carrying a white grocery-type bag that does appear to contain a red gas can.
Calla also told me while police have not verified the attack was directed at the refugees, his feeling is the attack was someone trying to light the gas can on fire and was motivated by hate.
While he admitted police won’t know that until they talk to the suspect, he said “it’s clear to me that someone came in from the outside within the context of trying to hurt the refugees. There is no other motivation that we can figure as to why they would want to this.”
Police sources tell me there are plenty of other motivations being looked at, including mental health or the possibility of it being a “fire bug.”
Calla also said people have “breached” the hotel’s security to make videos that espouse “white supremacy ideology” and are “spreading lies” about “feces” being on the walls.
He said people are “distorting” the truth about conditions there.
A number of online reviews have claimed the hotel was chaotic during their stay, and pointed fingers at refugees staying there.
Controversially, one online post on tripadvisor.ca claimed Toronto Animal Services was called to deal with a complaint about goats being slaughtered in the hotel, a claim Calla called it “way over the top” and “so absurd.”
“There are no goats in the hotel,” he said.
The hotel, however, wouldn’t comment either way on that claim, or any others, and has referred all questions to COSTI.
Meanwhile, for the refugees staying there, who came to our country looking for help, none of this good. Regardless of whatever twisted reason the fire was set, regardless of what police eventually find, it’s terrifying for them.
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Thursday, October 11, 2018
Roy Zamora 26, Downsview shot dead on Camborne Ave near Keele St and Tavistock
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A 26-year-old man has been pronounced dead at the scene of a daylight shooting in the city’s Downsview neighbourhood on Thursday.
At around 2 p.m., emergency crews responded to reports of gunshots heard in the area of Tavistock Road and Keele Street.
Officers said a male victim was located at the scene with obvious signs of trauma and was pronounced dead a short time later.
Toronto police are seen investigating after a daylight shooting left a man dead in Downsview on Oct. 11.
“It’s a residential area and the male was found in front, I believe, of one of the houses in that area without any vital signs,” Toronto police spokesperson Katrina Arrogante told CP24.
The male victim was identified by city councillor Maria Augimeri as Roy Zamora after she said she spoke with his mother.
A grey vehicle with two male suspects inside was seen fleeing the area after the gunshots rang out, police said.
Roads have been blocked off as an investigation is conducted.
Anyone with further information is asked to contact police or Crime Stoppers.
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Wednesday, October 10, 2018
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